Second-Handful
0xb5ff1b60a5a99f17160730d412c64f4dcf066668
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.34
Total PnL
$-207.52
Realised
$-2.86
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- JUAN MANUEL LA SERNA
Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$10.34
$4.34
- OVER
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
346 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- UNDER
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
30 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna$6.13Aug 19, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 3.5$24.14Jul 5, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$5.01Jun 22, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$182.59Jun 21, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMHSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman$20.00Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMStuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau$24.69Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau$20.11Jun 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman$17.66Jun 7, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$204.08May 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$101.53May 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Las Vegas Raiders draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$3.13May 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Lakers (-10.5)$4.1KMar 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lakers (-10.5)$2.0KMar 25, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $2.50?$2.01Mar 24, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $50?$3.00Mar 24, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 9?$4.03Mar 24, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $2.50?$2.00Mar 7, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 9?$4.00Mar 7, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $50?$3.00Mar 7, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.11Mar 7, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $125.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.