Far-Off-Ectoderm
0xb5ff4b5a5f68b7ba5ce420b61f7b025f3da4bb6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$153.64
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
1277 shares @ 50.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.82
$-493.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 51.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.82
$-46.82
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
280 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.92
- OVER
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5
230 shares @ 97.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
200 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-125.10
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
200 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-83.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
150 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-83.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?
99 shares @ 99.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-98.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 10?
63 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$87.66Jun 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$48.78Jun 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$9.91Jun 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$49.25Jun 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$29.40Jun 15, 05:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$30.00Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$7.68Jun 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$19.62Jun 14, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$157.00Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Morocco (-2.5)$19.99Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $35.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.