Sick-Rocketship
0xb60aebe4726b912e3fb2131e134a794f789d3c37
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?
9097 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Michigan by 4.0% or more?
8981 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-831.75
- YES
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?
8653 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-476.74
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
7400 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
300 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?
142 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.78
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?
41 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.75Dec 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.21Dec 11, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.83Dec 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.96Dec 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.52Dec 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.77Dec 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.06Dec 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.44Dec 11, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.97Dec 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.98Dec 11, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.25Dec 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.14Dec 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.11Dec 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.20Dec 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.87Dec 11, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$0.01Dec 11, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.85Dec 11, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.08Dec 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.00Dec 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.00Dec 11, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.