Lumpy-Defendant
0xb612b3d27ed6b309aeb2235eabfb6a54dc01c6b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$107.30
Total PnL
$-641.01
Realised
$301.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
580 shares @ 24.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.30
$-32.70
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga?
10000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
4618 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-125.49
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?
2068 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-52.67
- YES
Will Ukraine control Grafovka on March 31?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?
200 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-130.89
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$0.00Jan 2, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$300.00Jan 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$16.57Dec 6, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$101.03Dec 6, 13:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Dec 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$2.40Dec 4, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$20.00Dec 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$659.64Nov 29, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$5.00Nov 29, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$2.79Nov 29, 00:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.92Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$11.82Nov 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$24.72Nov 28, 21:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Nov 28, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.55Nov 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$270.00Nov 25, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?$14.30Nov 24, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.00Nov 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$716.32Nov 24, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?$38.38Nov 24, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $57.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.