Natural-Selling
0xb613fd248a57bee0567eadd7f98f5738894f3121
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$9.84Apr 4, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?$9.84Apr 4, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?$9.63Mar 19, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Great Satan' - Rob Zombie debut week album sales be between 20k and 25k?$9.63Mar 19, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Great Satan' - Rob Zombie debut week album sales be between 20k and 25k?$9.62Mar 16, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMSenator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?$9.63Mar 16, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?$9.05Feb 21, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$9.04Feb 21, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$8.89Jan 31, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?$3.80Nov 21, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWhich chamber will move first on a funding bill?$3.81Nov 21, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhich chamber will move first on a funding bill?$3.73Nov 12, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?$3.72Nov 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?$3.68Oct 12, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.07Oct 12, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$2.61Oct 12, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$0.98Feb 20, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMPartyDAO airdrop in 2024?$2.19Feb 20, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMCanada federal election in 2024?$2.42Feb 20, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden resign before inauguration?$4.96Feb 20, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 05:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.