Few-Gray
0xb6149b8e9439faaae9a3a0376539baa0c86d31e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.59
Total PnL
$-52.58
Realised
$2.77
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.59
$0.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.50 on December 29?
6348 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.35
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 12?
5414 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on December 24?
5331 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?
2076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?
2067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on April 17?
2066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?$15.38Aug 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?$15.32Aug 13, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?$15.35Jul 31, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?$15.32Jul 30, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$13.28Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$13.25Jul 24, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$15.29Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$15.23Jul 16, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$12.49Jul 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$12.45Jul 2, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$11.03Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.21Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$4.66Jun 26, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.35Jun 26, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.19Jun 20, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$13.34Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$13.30Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.87Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.82Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$13.63Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $389.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.