Exalted-Mantel
0xb61c704842c3e01febc8f9e78c994dfefee6efa0
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$105.44
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 10°C or below on May 3?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$22.81
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 2?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$21.21
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on May 3?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 3, 2026$15.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 3?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 3, 2026$12.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on May 3?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 3, 2026$11.51
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 2?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 3?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.62
$-0.00
- NO
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.90
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 3?$12.5013m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 3?$5.622h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 2?$19.852h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on May 3?$15.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 10°C or below on May 3?$22.808h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 2?$10.018h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 2?$5.1911h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on May 3?$11.5013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 2?$9.4016h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$13.7116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 2?$10.0017h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on May 2?$7.3418h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on May 2?$2.5218h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 1?$17.4918h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or below on May 2?$11.3619h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or below on May 2?$0.4219h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 2?$19.8322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 2?$21.2023h ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 2?$10.5323h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 2?$16.021d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".