Clueless-Thunderstorm
0xb621493f1fa159637c7e5169e1b41df45d1de553
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.02
Realised
$-3.09
Win rate
6%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
512 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
209 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
161 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
125 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
121 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
120 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.56Jul 5, 23:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
50 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.