Carefree-Messy
0xb6261a17d7d6b18e3f33c634d196d4b8146b5558
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9PM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 24?
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
41 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET
36 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
33 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
32 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
29 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?
27 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$58.57Oct 26, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 24?$2.00Oct 24, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 23?$100.20Oct 24, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 23?$100.00Oct 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9PM ET$1.00Oct 23, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 22?$101.72Oct 23, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 22?$100.00Oct 22, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - October 19, 9PM ET$0.00Oct 22, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$11.00Oct 22, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - October 19, 9PM ET$24.69Oct 22, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 19, 9PM ET$14.57Oct 20, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$12.00Oct 19, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$7.00Oct 19, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on October 18?$10.59Oct 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 18?$12.00Oct 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?$2.70Oct 18, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on October 15?$38.25Oct 18, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on October 15?$44.44Oct 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$22.00Oct 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on October 15?$20.00Oct 15, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $22.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".