Polished-Bidder
0xb63640b9a049d6b8cdd6a798e0c7e9b4d596fecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$36.29
Total PnL
$13.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
22 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$21.95
$17.34
- NO
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.80
$2.79
- YES
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$5.50
$1.21
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 71.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.04
$0.59
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.04Jul 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.45Jul 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$3.58Jul 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$4.01Jul 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$4.29Jun 27, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.40Jun 27, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$3.58Jun 10, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2700 in June?$3.78Jun 10, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)$6.66Jun 10, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2700 in June?$2.72Jun 1, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be from Europe?$0.00May 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)$2.73May 10, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$13.25May 8, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.61May 4, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.35Apr 30, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?$14.19Feb 6, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.50Jan 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?$12.68Jan 30, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$5.99Jan 21, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$17.47Jan 21, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.