Sophisticated-Discrepancy
0xb637ce77160f34be2fb809d0dbd536bfbd1106ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
57 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 12?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?$8.93Mar 26, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 12?$3.00May 11, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 12?$1.54May 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 12?$3.00May 11, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00May 11, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00May 11, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$0.00May 11, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$0.00May 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$15.00Apr 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?$5.00Apr 8, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$8.47Feb 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$2.00Feb 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$3.00Feb 12, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump positive favorability on inauguration day?$0.00Jan 28, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden issue a preemptive pardon?$3.77Jan 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden issue a preemptive pardon?$2.00Jan 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump positive favorability on inauguration day?$5.00Jan 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? $2.00Jan 11, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$5.00Jan 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$3.00Jan 7, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.