Recent-Son
0xb63b2f357654c4e2b0a946a90320559fb577d7f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-60.91
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?
24084 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET
7098 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-283.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
3021 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-185.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 8?
2020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6AM ET
1722 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-91.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
900 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-86.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4AM ET
689 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
410 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-38.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
400 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-61.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$6.35Jul 21, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.15Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.59Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.41Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.35Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$3.75Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$11.37Jul 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$11.38Jul 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.06Jul 21, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.87Jul 21, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$11.36Jul 21, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$11.38Jul 21, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.18Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$3.01Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$11.38Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$11.39Jul 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.49Jul 21, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$14.74Jul 21, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.26Jul 21, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$11.38Jul 21, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.