Playful-Physics
0xb63d77aa5495a6b17a2df578ebddd6ec5610564c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.66
Total PnL
$-388.06
Realised
$6.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
370 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$-7.68
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
2910 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.01
- YES
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
2850 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.94
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
1131 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
336 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-94.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
300 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
- NO
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
190 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-34.45
- YES
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
110 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.68
- YES
Will Trump say "Corn" during Iowa speech?
104 shares @ 72.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-75.58
- YES
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?
77 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-37.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$20.80Feb 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$18.14Feb 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA MUDANZA" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?$17.68Feb 7, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$13.65Feb 7, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$9.60Feb 7, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.71Feb 6, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.72Feb 6, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.17Feb 6, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$10.26Feb 6, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 6?$23.99Feb 6, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 6?$3.00Feb 6, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 6?$15.60Feb 6, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.23Feb 6, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.21Feb 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$12.75Feb 6, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Feb 3, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$2.57Feb 3, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.20Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$7.45Feb 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$2.75Feb 3, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".