Salty-Neuropathologist
0xb63ddd7e97e68d56d9e72d8ba98499090b36644a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$-23.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Jarrett Allen win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opensea launch a token by December 31? $1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMFreddie Mac IPO in 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ruby Wax win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?$1.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFreddie Mac IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.