Necessary-Simple
0xb64355f61d97cdb9c4c195b15703e376378dff28
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-179.02
Realised
$-20.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
5580 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
1695 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
724 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
262 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.00Jan 9, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$10.00Jan 9, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$15.00Jan 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Nov 25, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Nov 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$7.00Nov 25, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$37.04Nov 25, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$46.51Nov 25, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$15.00Jul 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?$1.00Jul 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$29.97Jul 5, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$87.18Jul 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$30.00Jun 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Jun 18, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Jun 18, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $21.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.