Gray-Pegboard
0xb64f2c1cae4c632473328b4798b963e56a326fd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
530 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$530.11
$6.47
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
520 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$520.00
$0.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
261 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$260.53
$5.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?
520 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Ximena Rincón come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
433 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
430 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
340 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.72
- NO
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?
301 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.29Mar 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$255.06Mar 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$189.43Mar 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$189.81Mar 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$523.64Mar 25, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.02Mar 22, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$182.53Mar 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 23?$370.00Mar 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$519.48Mar 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$2.72Nov 29, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 23?$369.63Nov 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ximena Rincón come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.94Nov 9, 12:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 2, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$237.60Nov 1, 06:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 1, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?$4.16Oct 31, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$237.60Oct 31, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$340.36Oct 28, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$390.38Oct 28, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$400.00Oct 28, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $224.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.