Improbable-Grill
0xb65ed88244535e3dd95a794b72b2fd66d591431a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$88.60
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4317 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$88.50
$6.48
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.10
$-99.90
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
2051 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1964 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
1371 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-119.71
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
1141 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- OVER
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
736 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-316.00
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
613 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-156.00
- FC BAYERN MÜNCHEN
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
548 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-137.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$41.10Jun 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$101.50Jun 13, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5$249.74Jun 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5$24.61Jun 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5$101.80Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner$225.91Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner$168.96Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$101.98Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$101.95Jun 12, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$281.23Jun 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5$43.54Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$102.01Jun 12, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5$236.90Jun 12, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5$99.53Jun 12, 02:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $144.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.