Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.05

Total PnL

$-3.3K

Realised

$-3.05

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 66

YES
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$0.05
$-1.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12AM ET
770 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-59.40
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 4AM ET
500 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-222.97
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2AM ET
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-465.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8AM ET
480 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-67.20
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9PM ET
455 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-56.60
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9PM ET
450 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-382.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8AM ET
439 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-81.26
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
430 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-31.59
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3AM ET
420 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-105.36

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$177.09Mar 30, 15:14 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$101.19Mar 30, 15:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$97.00Mar 30, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.19Mar 30, 15:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$199.19Mar 30, 14:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$188.00Mar 30, 14:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$199.58Mar 30, 05:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$193.95Mar 30, 03:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$200.00Mar 30, 03:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$180.00Mar 30, 03:48 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on March 30?$0.68Mar 30, 03:38 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on March 30?$0.26Mar 30, 03:38 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on March 30?$0.10Mar 30, 03:38 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on March 30?$0.16Mar 30, 03:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$12.39Mar 30, 03:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.71Mar 30, 03:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.66Mar 30, 03:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$7.14Mar 30, 03:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.12Mar 30, 03:28 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry9 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk76 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $19.95
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 16, 04:38 UTC
Last active: Mar 30, 15:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:12:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data