0xb6841ca4442cef39863f413f84aeec027077343c
0xb6841ca4442cef39863f413f84aeec027077343c
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$399.44
Realised
$226.65
Win rate
67%
162 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?
177 shares @ 57.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$176.91
$74.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 5?
118 shares @ 55.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$117.89
$52.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?
103 shares @ 60.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$103.10
$40.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?
100 shares @ 66.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$100.29
$33.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?
76 shares @ 57.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$76.11
$32.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 5?
75 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$74.79
$27.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?
74 shares @ 54.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$74.31
$33.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 5?
72 shares @ 73.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$71.53
$18.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?
66 shares @ 52.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$65.72
$31.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5?
60 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$59.76
$23.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 6?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 4?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 6?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$0.00Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
83/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 162 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
162 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 162 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.