Deserted-Deliberation
0xb685417849f7921b67b5f534e0d1beb3556e3254
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
165 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
102 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
GPT-5 released in 2024?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Germany confidence vote in 2024?
21 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.33
- NO
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
7 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
US bank failure before March?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
3 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?
2 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.30Dec 24, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$4.65Dec 24, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.30Dec 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGerman Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$1.20Dec 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGerman Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$1.00Dec 16, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGerman Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$1.00Dec 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?$0.20Dec 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?$0.30Dec 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?$1.00Dec 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 released in 2024?$1.00Dec 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure before March?$4.00Dec 9, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 9, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.50Dec 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$0.50Dec 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$3.00Dec 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany confidence vote in 2024?$0.33Dec 9, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGerman Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$10.00Dec 9, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.