Rewarding-Diabetes
0xb68e1897f7b624e7d4a38a097cea13e770c03eba
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$145.17
Total PnL
$-276.54
Realised
$-5.30
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$8.42
$6.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$8.00
$6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$8.00
$6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$7.14
$5.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 13?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$6.24
$4.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.06
$4.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?
6 shares @ 40.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.02
$3.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 14?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.88
$3.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.26
$3.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 14?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.00
$1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?$9.31Jun 18, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?$6.35May 25, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?$5.00May 24, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on May 24?$3.01May 24, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 24?$5.00May 24, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 24?$5.00May 24, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?$6.45May 24, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 22?$6.45May 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 24?$2.00May 23, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 24?$4.96May 23, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?$4.97May 23, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on May 24?$2.96May 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 24?$4.55May 23, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?$2.00May 23, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?$5.00May 23, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 22?$5.00May 23, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?$1.91May 22, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 22?$5.00May 22, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 22?$5.00May 22, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$5.00May 22, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.