Untried-Essay
0xb68f600fccb180259f5cdde11a7f94ebc9576fd2
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$963.99
Total PnL
$-244.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
200 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$200.00
$148.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
80 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$80.00
$22.40
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
80 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.96
$22.60
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
80 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.00
$5.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?
80 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$72.40
$5.20
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
40 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$40.00
$18.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$40.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
40 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$40.00
$21.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$39.99
$5.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
40 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$39.98
$8.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?$9.602h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$15.087h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?$4.4111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?$67.2012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?$0.8912h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?$4.4312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$5.7214h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$54.211d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$14.591d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.102d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$117.532d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$37.152d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$56.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$46.613d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$17.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$5.043d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$24.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$3.343d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$14.403d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".