Damp-Bolt
0xb6945c61397ddbea522e8f49971f397ebb70c1f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Japan record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will United States record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Slovenia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will France record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Great Britain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sweden record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Norway record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Germany record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Italy record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netherlands record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.50Feb 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.06Feb 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.01Feb 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.52Feb 20, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 20?$0.93Feb 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 20?$1.00Feb 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.00Feb 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)$1.00Feb 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.09Feb 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?$1.00Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 22:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.