Improbable-Whip
0xb6a1e32291576b287f242fb48cc6c7bc33cb3a6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$312.92
Win rate
58%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
2544 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-199.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
832 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-63.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
493 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
164 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-33.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
163 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-53.43
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
158 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-57.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
155 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
154 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-38.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
152 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-37.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
150 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-43.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$50.00Apr 22, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.50Apr 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.06Apr 9, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.04Apr 9, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.04Apr 9, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.07Apr 9, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.17Apr 7, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.43Apr 7, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.15Apr 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.33Apr 6, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.01Apr 5, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.01Apr 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.01Apr 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.05Apr 5, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.05Apr 5, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.15Apr 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.15Apr 2, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.15Mar 31, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.15Mar 29, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".