Vague-Mutation
0xb6a81cf4780bbc003de068e5b1827ee5f3fbd174
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-276.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Couch" during Friday speech?
357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?
329 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2024$0.00
$-101.91
- NO
Will Kamala Harris say "not going back" during Friday speech?
226 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Price control" during Friday speech?
153 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?$101.91Aug 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?$50.00Aug 20, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Gouge "or "Gouging" 5 or more times during Friday speech?$76.92Aug 20, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Couch" during Friday speech?$25.00Aug 16, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Price control" during Friday speech?$50.00Aug 16, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Gouge "or "Gouging" 5 or more times during Friday speech?$50.00Aug 16, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "not going back" during Friday speech?$50.00Aug 16, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $54.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".