Valuable-Curl-Caribou
0xb6a91fd0cd5148940e218f4e1509deb5d57e9298
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-148.96
Realised
$11.05
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 11?
420 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 15?
249 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?
248 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?
213 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?
196 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 17?
193 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 18?
179 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 19?
166 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?
164 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 19?
163 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.04May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.27May 18, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 19?$0.01May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?$0.04May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 20?$0.06May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 20?$0.20May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?$0.08May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?$0.03May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?$0.03May 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.46May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.01May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.46May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.07May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.56May 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.10May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$0.35May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$0.35May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 18?$0.02May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.01May 17, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.