Wary-Mailbox
0xb6aae78d3f932e479253289aaa766e600cd39c48
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$171.92
Total PnL
$-28.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
40 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.00
$0.52
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
43 shares @ 95.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.38
$-2.82
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
38 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.68
$0.66
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
26 shares @ 95.2¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.88
$-0.87
- YES
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
14 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.00
$0.10
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.05
$-0.91
- NO
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.93
$-2.64
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
24 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-22.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$37.01Apr 23, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$39.48Apr 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$13.90Apr 8, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$9.57Apr 8, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$11.96Apr 8, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$22.00Apr 7, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$12.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$14.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$25.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$25.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$24.75Mar 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$24.45Mar 20, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$22.32Mar 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$19.16Mar 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$22.03Mar 20, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?$12.00Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$14.00Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$15.00Mar 20, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$24.00Mar 20, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$26.00Mar 20, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.