Tremendous-Deathwatch
0xb6bc462c5bc17968ff12d41c789a71a3efd8c5e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.53
Total PnL
$-73.78
Realised
$6.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
478 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.59
$-9.77
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
10 shares @ 12.7¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.46
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
43 shares @ 26.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-10.70
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
37 shares @ 10.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-3.57
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?
140 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?
99 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
64 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.18
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
45 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
30 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$0.25Apr 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$0.81Apr 14, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$0.11Apr 14, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$0.72Apr 14, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$0.32Apr 14, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$1.06Apr 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$0.16Apr 14, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$0.80Apr 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$0.04Apr 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$1.20Apr 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$10.42Apr 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$1.15Apr 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?$0.52Apr 10, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?$0.52Apr 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.07Apr 10, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".