Excellent-Depressive
0xb6c165bef6523f36dd35299e8c026a3b81eca400
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$134.67
Total PnL
$-26.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 20?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$13.50
$2.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$11.50
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$11.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?
19 shares @ 51.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$10.72
$0.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?
18 shares @ 49.9¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.17
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.00
$2.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.42
$0.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?$4.99Jun 18, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?$2.75Jun 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?$1.52Jun 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?$1.22Jun 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?$1.52Jun 18, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?$1.22Jun 18, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?$2.75Jun 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?$2.75Jun 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?$5.50Jun 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?$2.45Jun 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 19?$1.45Jun 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 19?$1.30Jun 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 19?$1.45Jun 18, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?$0.96Jun 18, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 18?$4.99Jun 18, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.