Shocked-Traveler
0xb6cae2a3084f02f691ff4ecaf61783335b2048a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$236.39
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-337.70
Win rate
62%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of July 27 2026?
628 shares @ 16.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$72.22
$-31.53
- YES
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of July 27 2026?
404 shares @ 21.1¢·now 14.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$59.92
$-25.30
- YES
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?
537 shares @ 15.4¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.96
$-39.90
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 27 2026?
910 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.48
$-1.82
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $115-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.85
$-0.20
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.04
$0.35
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $350-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.46
$0.32
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of July 27 2026?
170 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.27
$4.58
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.30
$-0.19
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 27 2026?
20 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.89
$0.12
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.12Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$24.14Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of July 27 2026?$6.26Jul 28, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?$1.00Jul 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?$1.50Jul 28, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 28?$3.82Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on July 28?$59.93Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$9.36Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $350-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?$6.14Jul 28, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 28?$41.95Jul 28, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 28?$19.79Jul 28, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 28?$56.28Jul 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 28?$1.13Jul 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$4.65Jul 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$3.50Jul 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 28?$0.26Jul 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$11.85Jul 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$3.49Jul 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$17.86Jul 28, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 91 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
91 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.