Diligent-Fringe
0xb6cd3b32e72eaa40bebc470c79d97b0f3f901109
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.35
Total PnL
$-121.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.58
$-1.22
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
97000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-97.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
11 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$0.00Feb 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.00Feb 6, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.93Feb 6, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.64Feb 6, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?$0.00Feb 6, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$6.00Feb 6, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 29, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$6.02Jan 29, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$97.00Jan 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.80Jan 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00Jan 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$0.53Jan 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$0.45Jan 13, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 13, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 13, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $7.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 17:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.