Vigorous-Egg
0xb6d423cc5078f693e95f7ef7805685bc7c5c22bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$5.35Jul 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$5.24Jul 24, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$5.73Jul 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$5.62Jul 17, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$5.84Jul 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$5.64Jul 12, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$5.61Jul 2, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$5.41Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$5.22Jun 30, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$5.47Jun 27, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$5.38Jun 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$5.28Jun 20, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$6.77Jun 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$6.41Jun 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.73Jun 6, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.25May 30, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.91May 24, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.61May 22, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$5.94May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$5.86May 13, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.