Great-Downturn
0xb6da3992262eed291555e23348ea52d6fa7ecd2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$288.50
Total PnL
$-5.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 24.9¢·now 28.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$288.50
$39.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on September 18?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 20?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
99 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$39.96May 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$256.48May 22, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$965.93Mar 11, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$946.13Jan 31, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$471.96Jan 2, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$85.94Oct 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$188.24Oct 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$200.00Oct 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$443.64Sep 30, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$50.00Sep 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$200.00Sep 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$200.00Sep 30, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$892.93Sep 30, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on September 18?$3.00Sep 18, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$776.85Sep 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 20?$3.00Sep 18, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $261.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".