Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-342.68

Realised

$-15.62

Win rate

50%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 47

YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
9575 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-19.15
YES
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?
2049 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-4.19
YES
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?
873 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-21.05
NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23?
866 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025
$0.00
$-34.45
YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?
446 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-7.34
YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?
420 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-14.68
NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?
390 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025
$0.00
$-97.42
YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
350 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-14.00
YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $121K and $122K on July 21?
214 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025
$0.00
$-3.42

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?$1.89Sep 3, 16:18 UTC
TRADEBUYWill anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?$3.00Sep 3, 16:18 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.05Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.07Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.05Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$0.84Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.10Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Obliterate" or "Obliteration" during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.05Sep 3, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.50Sep 3, 16:15 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.15Sep 3, 16:15 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterate" or "Obliteration" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.20Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.50Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.10Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.49Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$0.70Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 3, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden's War" during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Sep 3, 16:13 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$5.00Sep 3, 16:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry11 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk42 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $1.02
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Aug 17, 08:26 UTC
Last active: Sep 3, 16:18 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 19:03:02 UTC·src:Polymarket Data