Woeful-Marketing-Evil
0xb6ec8b1cc8b11a48d150a4c5bb9f4abe2160107a
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-181.57
Win rate
2%
184 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 23?
1386 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
1074 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-238.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?
961 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
371 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-181.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
251 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-136.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
230 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-112.50
- VALERIO ABOIAN
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez
193 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
182 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-103.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
178 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-94.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$10.37Aug 12, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$10.36Aug 12, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$10.34Aug 12, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.48Aug 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.49Aug 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.48Aug 12, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.48Aug 12, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$104.69Aug 12, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$104.77Aug 12, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$35.28Aug 11, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$106.87Aug 11, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$59.57Aug 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.39Aug 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$49.38Aug 11, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$178.07Aug 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$134.17Aug 11, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$73.00Aug 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$28.81Aug 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$54.30Aug 11, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$110.64Aug 11, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 184 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
184 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $27.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 184 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.