Unknown-Airport
0xb6f746e616fd77de1a96b463887aded01aa245d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3342 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3342 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$639.90
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
877 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?
788 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-783.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
726 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 2?
650 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-140.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 2?
640 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.30Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $0.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.