Downright-Infancy
0xb6fac83e7f3215755d53fc4696a2c047eaa0a4e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$92.02
Total PnL
$3.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
28 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$28.00
$0.11
- NO
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$11.97
$0.01
- HEAT
Nuggets vs. Heat
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$10.00
$5.50
- SHARKS
Sharks vs. Ducks
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$10.00
$6.10
- NO
Will Jason Calacanis be the next CEO of X?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.65
$0.05
- NO
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$7.41
$0.01
- NO
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.33
$0.03
- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.52
$0.02
- NO
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$3.81
$0.01
- NO
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.33
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Ducks$3.90Dec 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Heat$4.50Dec 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissouri State vs. Kennesaw State$0.99Nov 22, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissouri State vs. Kennesaw State$0.47Nov 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOld Dominion vs. Georgia Southern$0.85Nov 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissouri State vs. Kennesaw State$1.41Nov 22, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOld Dominion vs. Georgia Southern$1.13Nov 22, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas vs. Iowa State$3.48Nov 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$11.96Oct 27, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$27.89Oct 27, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.49Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.59Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $112000 on August 13?$1.67Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in June?$2.12Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in May?$2.41Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Dream win the 2025 WNBA Championship?$2.46Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?$2.80Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2025 Travelers Championship?$3.02Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?$3.20Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$3.21Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".