Quixotic-Difficulty
0xb6ff0b774a42e9cc58f0668ae1d793011c7f7bef
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$8.10
Total PnL
$-77.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$-0.02
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 10?
5430 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.86
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 11?
4380 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 25?
2134 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?
1229 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
1086 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 26?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?
1079 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
1078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 1?$2.11Jun 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$3.24May 26, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 20?$2.12May 21, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$2.14May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?$0.26May 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?$1.90May 12, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?$0.30May 12, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$5.05May 5, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 5?$2.12May 5, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 3?$1.1KMay 4, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 3?$1.1KMay 4, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?$1.1KMay 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?$1.1KMay 3, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 1?$1.1KMay 2, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $267.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.