Monthly-Keystone
0xb700462b95311658fd65d8763334ce9a5423224a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
84
Open notional
$186.39
Total PnL
$-39.03
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
72 shares @ 22.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$16.25
$-0.11
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
48 shares @ 23.3¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.75
$-0.40
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
123 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.56
$-0.72
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.4¢·now 67.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.09
$-0.69
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
25 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.27
$-0.12
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 27.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$7.93
$-4.93
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
29 shares @ 24.6¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.85
$-0.17
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
13 shares @ 47.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?
61 shares @ 15.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$6.47
$-3.26
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
9 shares @ 69.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$0.44May 17, 04:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5$1.01May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5$1.00May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5$1.02May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDonovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5$1.01May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAusar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5$1.01May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)$1.00May 16, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5$1.00May 16, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$1.00May 16, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$1.01May 16, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5$1.00May 16, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Harden: Assists O/U 6.5$1.00May 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDonovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5$1.00May 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAusar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5$1.00May 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5$1.00May 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Harden: Points O/U 18.5$1.05May 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDonovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5$1.00May 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)$1.00May 16, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".