Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-13.8K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 35

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1256 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-628.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-600.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1133 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-566.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1103 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-551.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1103 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-551.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$350.00Dec 11, 06:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.3KDec 11, 05:38 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.3KDec 11, 05:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$62.00Dec 11, 04:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$113.00Dec 11, 04:52 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$400.00Dec 11, 04:52 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$551.50Dec 11, 04:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$40.34Dec 11, 04:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$511.15Dec 11, 04:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$62.40Dec 11, 04:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$587.60Dec 11, 04:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$17.09Dec 11, 04:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$632.91Dec 11, 04:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.0KDec 11, 04:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.0KDec 11, 04:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.0KDec 11, 04:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.0KDec 11, 04:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.0KDec 11, 04:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$488.00Dec 11, 03:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$12.00Dec 11, 03:19 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $361.82
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 11, 01:26 UTC
Last active: Dec 11, 06:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:53:10 UTC·src:Polymarket Data