Humongous-Lysine
0xb71e757b3af6654abab041791d565f6ed86ec14f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.12
Realised
$-2.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 6?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 6?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 6?
150 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?
150 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?
131 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 16?
119 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 17?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?$0.04Jul 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?$0.20Jun 28, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?$0.02Jun 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Jun 22, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.75Jun 21, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 21?$0.77Jun 21, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 21?$0.32Jun 21, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 21?$0.95Jun 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 21?$1.50Jun 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 21?$0.02Jun 21, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?$0.02Jun 21, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?$0.01Jun 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?$0.03Jun 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 20?$1.85Jun 20, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?$0.05Jun 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?$0.50Jun 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?$1.05Jun 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 20?$0.74Jun 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?$0.02Jun 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?$0.04Jun 20, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.