Abandoned-Frequency
0xb720d27e76f96985ace8a6d7f9532c501a429d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-913.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
750 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-82.50
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
555 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.06
- YES
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
500 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
487 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
400 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
170 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
150 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.50
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
109 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jan 8, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$350.00Jan 7, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 7, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 6, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 5, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 4, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 3, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 2, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 1, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 31, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 30, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 29, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 28, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 27, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 26, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 25, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 24, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 23, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 22, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 21, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $350.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.