Insidious-Harmonize
0xb7213693631d70e6acfc0b867362577473a924f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
266667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-699.73
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?
19962 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
18206 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?
8333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4545 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
4108 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$207.00Jul 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$52.47Jul 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$52.35Jul 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$52.42Jul 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$52.38Jul 15, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?$52.46Jul 15, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?$52.45Jul 15, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?$3.92Jul 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$556.59Jul 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?$52.45Jul 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$52.46Jul 14, 18:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?$104.60Jul 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?$104.94Jul 11, 18:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $107.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.