Expert-Crop
0xb724b08eb3476d67207e89cecf38f45fb3dd2cca
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-38.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12658 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
4501 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3705 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-592.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1714 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.28
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?
1195 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-223.00
- NO
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
102 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-36.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.42Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$627.70Jul 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KJul 8, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.