Sad-Bowler
0xb73702872e82fce4fbfa79762f9968ecd889f72e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$36.91
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-166.95
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.59
$-0.41
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 42.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.32
$-12.68
- YES
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
1417 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-215.00
- YES
Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?
944 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
504 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gladiator II gross between $67-75m on opening weekend?
469 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
422 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-141.00
- YES
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $19-22m on 3-day opening weekend?
419 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-56.00
- NO
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?
323 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2024$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Villa win on 2024-11-23?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.00May 8, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 7, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 6, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 6, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 1, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$1.00Apr 26, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$1.00Apr 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$2.50Apr 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$41.71Apr 23, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$7.00Apr 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$5.00Apr 17, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$20.00Apr 16, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.00Apr 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.12Apr 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Apr 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$26.05Apr 7, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$27.24Apr 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 6, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5.00Apr 6, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $47.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".