French-Hunter
0xb7430be01ad9eb575ea293d5393e4977e53557f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-184.14
Realised
$143.46
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
2801 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-114.41
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 3?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 3?
1363 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1016 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
824 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.04Jul 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$2.08May 19, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$7.81May 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.13May 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$31.43May 18, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.23Feb 5, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.29Feb 5, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.51Feb 5, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.50Feb 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.29Feb 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.30Feb 5, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.