Serene-Misnomer
0xb753ecf552445882b18fa1e71ec717145ee8e7fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$134.42
Total PnL
$-79.20
Realised
$-2.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.71
$-5.29
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
54 shares @ 17.7¢·now 25.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.95
$4.36
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.70
$2.70
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.36
$2.36
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.71
$0.71
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
39 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.85
$0.05
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$7.54Jun 6, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jun 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.19Jun 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5.12Jun 6, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$5.13Jun 6, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.11Jun 6, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$10.00Jun 6, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.35Jun 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.04Jun 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.02Jun 5, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Jun 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.06Jun 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$4.71Jun 5, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$2.03Jun 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$2.08Jun 5, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.26Jun 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.61Jun 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.08Jun 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 5, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".