Definite-Grey
0xb75501195fa2e45a073748f83a8d11e4cb544d80
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-169.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?
3883 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will OKX be accused of insider trading?
1057 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on February 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
904 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
260 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OKX be accused of insider trading?$0.00Mar 3, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bybit be accused of insider trading?$0.00Mar 3, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill MEXC be accused of insider trading?$0.00Mar 3, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Mar 3, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Mar 3, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill OKX be accused of insider trading?$0.00Mar 3, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$9.98Mar 3, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$9.80Mar 3, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$6.40Mar 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.08Mar 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.73Mar 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.88Feb 28, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$2.98Feb 28, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$3.02Feb 28, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea be accused of insider trading?$3.10Feb 26, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea be accused of insider trading?$1.00Feb 26, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Upbit be accused of insider trading?$2.00Feb 26, 05:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.