Unimportant-Layout
0xb75bbeae7c9ff225eb373b7fb8e04990d493e28e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$134.03
Total PnL
$24.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
2024 July hottest on record?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$22.73
$17.73
- NO
Ethereum above $3,000 on August 9?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$20.83
$10.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$16.95
$6.95
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
16 shares @ 60.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$16.45
$6.45
- NO
Solana above $160 on August 9?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$15.15
$5.15
- NO
Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$14.29
$4.29
- NO
Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$11.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$10.53
$0.53
- YES
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Ethena crash in 2024?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?$10.00Aug 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $160 on August 9?$10.00Aug 2, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,000 on August 9?$10.00Aug 2, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $180 on August 2?$0.00Aug 2, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?$20.83Aug 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $180 on August 2?$50.00Jul 31, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $180 on August 2?$12.42Jul 30, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?$26.88Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BTC reach 70k in July?$0.00Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?$26.81Jul 30, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $180 on August 2?$10.00Jul 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?$50.00Jul 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $BTC reach 70k in July?$10.00Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJumper airdrop by September 30?$10.00Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?$25.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 July hottest on record?$5.00Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2024 be the hottest year on record?$5.00Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?$10.00Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?$10.00Jul 28, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $14.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.