Hard-To-Find-Muscatel
0xb75f41d8e2db26fac6df40b95d0f9f827c0d6960
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.89
Total PnL
$-123.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
17 shares @ 53.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.89
$7.85
- YES
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- OVER
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5
80 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-37.60
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?
50 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?
50 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
40 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
40 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.04
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$20.00Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$119.07Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$135.14Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?$16.20Feb 10, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Feb 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Feb 9, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5$140.94Feb 9, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$277.89Feb 9, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$287.30Feb 9, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$100.00Feb 9, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$69.00Feb 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$20.00Feb 9, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$13.60Feb 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5$58.24Feb 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$24.04Feb 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?$17.00Feb 1, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5$14.47Jan 31, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$10.20Jan 30, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$16.00Jan 30, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $31.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.